In Essence, Guatemalan Presidential Election Is an Unpopularity Contest
GUATEMALA CITY — Conservative Alejandro Giammattei could prevail in Guatemala’s presidential runoff Sunday if misgivings about his opponent among urban voters outweigh her support in the Central American nation’s poor Mayan highlands. Whoever takes office in January will face a testy relationship with U.S. President Donald Trump, who last month strong-armed the outgoing government into signing an agreement that will turn Guatemala into a buffer zone for U.S.-bound migrants. Giammattei and his center-left rival, former first lady Sandra Torres, both criticized the deal, but Trump’s threats of economic sanctions are unlikely to leave either of them much room to maneuver if the next administration does not honor it. Potentially complicating such tough decisions, neither candidate is hugely popular. Torres, 63, has high negative ratings in the densely populated urban areas, in part because of her connections to an investigation being conducted into alleged illicit electoral financing in a previous campaign. Her base is in rural areas such as the highlands where she is remembered for social programs during her former husband’s administration. Turnout is expected to be low and the winner is unlikely to command a strong mandate, especially after electoral authorities excluded other popular candidates from the first round in June — conservative candidate Zury Rios on the ground that close relatives of coup leaders are barred from top office, and anti-corruption crusader Thelma Aldana because of an arrest warrant against …